EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS AND
SHORT TERM PREDICTION

Drought in southwest China is a sign of a major earthquake

- April 16, 2010 -

Research essay

Five provinces in southwest China have suffered for a rare drought. The runways of the Kunming airport have cracked. Lake Qinghai of 60,000 square meters in Yunnan has dried up completely. Riverbeds of the Jialing river in Chongqing and the Lijiang have been used for parking lots. Twenty million people have lacked drinking water. Many farmers have spent five hours to take drinking water. The cause of this severe drought has different explanations, such as temperature increase of the Indian Ocean, global warming, plateau El Niño and so on. For this present disaster, I have paid my attention from on writing “Wenchuan earthquake precursor” to the cause of the drought. I think it due to a major earthquake.

In "Bam earthquake prediction & space technology" of the 2005 yearbook of the United Nations, I clarify that before an earthquake, its vapor with high temperature (300-1500^oC) and high pressure erupts through crevices from a hypocenter to the surface and rises up to form an earthquake cloud or a geoeruption. By them, we can predict earthquakes correctly. In 2002, I observed a new phenomenon that clouds occurred in eastern Turkey frequently. I doubted about a leak of earthquake steam. On May 1, 2003, an M6.4 earthquake took place there. Afterward, the phenomenon disappeared. In 2003, I observed the same phenomenon along Sichuan and Yunnan. In 2007, I noticed an epicenter in Wenchuan. I was monitoring when earthquake vapor would erupt until mid-April, when a disease beat me down. On May 12, the Wenchuan earthquake happened coincidently at the place I had doubted. After the Wenchuan earthquake, this phenomenon has not disappeared in Yunnan Province, but even increased after 2010. Therefore, I think it as a precursor of a major earthquake.

Three images reveal clouds from a fixed place in spite of at different times: one 3:00 on Jan. 18, 2010, another 3:00 Jan. 28 and the other 6:00 Mar. 14. The location of 20N, 100E is marked. The distance between two adjacent white crosses is 10 degree of either latitude or longitude. Cities of Kunming, Chengdu, Chongqing, Guiyang, Nanning and Guilin are plotted by blue circle A, B, C, D, E and F respectively. Pink rectangles imply places where earthquakes occurred. Gray clouds marked by pink edge have repeated locally. Meteorology can not explain those clouds. It can not explain black holes in those clouds, either. The repeat of such clouds over a particular place implies heat from a fixed place or an impending earthquake. The black holes can be explained as heat from the fixed place melted parts of clouds. This kind of gray clouds with high temperatures blew to cause the drought. They are a long-term earthquake precursor. Narrowing time window needs to wait for when earthquake vapor will erupt. The longest delay from vapor eruption to its subsequent event is 112 days, while the shortest is in a day. For example, it has a 15-hour delay from the recent Chile cloud to the M8.8 Chile earthquake. In such situation, it is very hard for a predictor to receive satellite data, to analyze them and to make a prediction even if he or she did not eat and sleep. Moreover, it takes about 1.5 hours from a satellite receives data to the public obtains its images. This is one of reasons of why I have appealed for improving quality of satellite images.

Because no government pays attention on my appeal, I can not obtain the images I need. Furthermore, I am a patient just after radiotherapy and chemotherapy. To this impending earthquake, I can only make a warning (not a prediction): one quake of magnitude 7 or above, or two of 6 or above. Epicenter may roughly be in the red rectangle of Figure 1 or the green rectangle of Figure 2 and 3. I hope people to observe when and where the relevant cloud erupts to narrow the windows of time and location. If possible, I also hope people to measure half-hourly temperature to reduce the forecast area. It is possible that temperature exceeds 100 or 300 degrees Celsius. Please do not delete those inconceivable temperatures. They are critical for a prediction. (I explain abnormal temperature in my recent paper "Using the earthquake vapour theory to explain the French airbus crash". Many observatories have usually deleted those temperatures). Please also pay attention to irregular animal migration due to abnormal temperatures.

References

Darrell Harrington & Zhonghao Shou. Bam Earthquake Prediction & Space Technology Seminars of the United Nations Programme on Space Applications 16 39-63 (2005).
Zhonghao Shou, Jianjun Xia and Wenying Shou .Using the earthquake vapout theory to explain the French airbus crash Remote Sensing Letters1-2 85-94 (2010).
Figure 1 20100118 3:00
Figure 2 20100128 3:00
Figure 3 20100314 6:00

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