EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS AND
SHORT TERM PREDICTION

An Explanation of the Iran or Neighbor EQ Cloud

on Feb. 14, 2005

- March 1, 2005 -

First of all, I would like to thank Iranian and American people for their congratulations to my recent Kerman, Iran earthquake prediction, and to reply a common question about the "Iran or neighbor EQ cloud" on Feb. 14, 2005 [1].

A series of clouds from 0:00 UTC to 16:00 of Feb. 14, 2005 shows that the cloud appeared at 4:00, and matured at 9:00. Then, it moved away eastward, and disappeared at 16:00 finally [2]. It is difficult to decide where this cloud came from because it seemed not to have a fixed source, and there was no clear, black fault there. In spite of impediment by meteorological images for the epicenter, I predicted the area [1]. It is merely a kind of attempt for my estimate to heat referring to the fixed white area where there might be fog.

The cloud is about 680 km in length. If the vapor is from one epicenter, the earthquake will be over 6; while 5 or even less if from two or more epicenters. I'm sorry for no ability to predict it exactly without necessary data. If people are serious to earthquakes, they'd better convince the Society, including both governments and people themselves, to solve both satellite data problems [3], and earthquake data problems [4],[5],[6].



References

  1. Image 20050214 9:00
  2. Series 20040214
  3. Satellite Data Problems
  4. Earthquake Database Problems
  5. Problems of the World Earthquake Database of the U S Geological Survey
  6. Hope for Complete & Accurate Earthquake Data


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