EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS AND
SHORT TERM PREDICTION

My Iran Earthquake Prediction to BBC Persian Is Correct

- October 12, 2004 -

On June 23, 2004, I sent BBC Persian a prediction, "There will be one along ABC of Image 20040612 21:00" [1], and "It will happen within 103 days or before Sep. 24. Its magnitude will be more than or equal to 5, or a couple of 4~4.9" [2].

As a result: an M4.5 at "A" on 8/21 [3], and an M4.7 at "C" on 8/21[4] demonstrate the prediction to be correct.

In my answer, I also revealed another image 20040612 14:00 in Reference 19 [5]. An M5.4 happened at "B" on Jul. 1 [6], and an M5.7 at "A" on Aug. 11 [7]. The both Turkey earthquakes were so exact at the marks that were out of my estimation.

On Oct. 7, an M5.6 happened in Gorgan, Iran [8] . An Iranian reminded me to review Mark "X" of Image 20040607 21:00 [9] that was also out of my estimation between "B" and "C" of Image 20040612 21:00 [1]. Therefore, I reviewed the clouds on Jun. 12 [10] in my essay Tehran Special [11], and found something new.

Look at the clouds at 5:00 [10]. The clouds of both 5.4 and 5.7 Turkey earthquakes were over, while new clouds emerged after 8:00. At 12:00, two clouds, one from the middle coast, and the other from the Eastern corner of the sea formed. The latter should be the 5.6 Gorgan cloud, a 117-day delay.

At 18:00, another cloud appeared from "C". It should be the 4.7 cloud. Now, what I still do not know is whether or not there will be one at "B" of Image 20040612 21:00 [1].



References

  1. Image 20040612 21:00 The predicted place
  2. My answer No. 1 to BBS Persian on June 23, 2004
  3. Map 20040821 by the USGS The 4.5 Iran quake on 8/21, at "A" of Image 20040612 21:00
  4. Map 20040821 by the USGS The 4.7 Iran quake on 8/21, at "C" of Image 20040612 21:00
  5. Image 20040612 14:00
  6. Map 20040701 by the USGS The 5.4 Turkey quake on 7/1, at "B" of Image 20040612 14:00
  7. Map 20040811 by the USGS The 5.7 Turkey quake on 8/11, at "A" of Image 20040612 14:00
  8. Map 20041007 by the USGS The 5.6 Gorgan, Iran quake on 10/7, between "B" & "C" of Image 20040612 21:00
  9. Image 20040607 21:00
  10. Image 20040612~0613
  11. Tehran Special on Jul. 3, 2004


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